The first of what will be a daily exercise for us here at Who2beton.com, College Basketball trends, that offer team or situational biases versus the oddsmakers opening or closing numbers.
(741) FORDHAM vs. (742) SYRACUSE
Lean: SYRACUSE against the spread.
Backing big chalk home teams (Orangemen), favorites of 20 or more points, returning four starters or more that are coming off a season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800, playing an opponent (Fordham) had a losing record last year has been a cash cow. The trend is 24-5 (83%) the last five college basketball campaigns. The straight up record in this situation is 29-0 over that span and it is the first time this season the bias has presented itself.
Syracuse -26
(763) GEORGIA ST vs. (764) WASHINGTON
Lean: GEORGIA ST against the spread.
Backing non-conference road underdogs (Georgia State) that are coming of a season with a losing record, but return two or more starters than their opponent (Washington) when the oddsmakers open the pointspread with the visiting dog getting 10 to 19.5 points, has been a 70 percent proposition over the last 15 college campaigns. The trend is 59-23 over that span and the bias is already 1-0 this season. The first half play in this situation is a solid 30-9 over the same 15 campaigns, a 77% proposition. The average oddsmaker opening pointspread in this situation has the home team favored by nearly 15 points and the average final score finds the visitor losing by an average of 8 points. In somewhat of an oddity, comparing the peripherals, nearly 50 percent of these situations have the road team covering by 6 points or more.
Georgia State + 17
(741) FORDHAM vs. (742) SYRACUSE
Lean: SYRACUSE against the spread.
Backing big chalk home teams (Orangemen), favorites of 20 or more points, returning four starters or more that are coming off a season with a winning percentage between .600 and .800, playing an opponent (Fordham) had a losing record last year has been a cash cow. The trend is 24-5 (83%) the last five college basketball campaigns. The straight up record in this situation is 29-0 over that span and it is the first time this season the bias has presented itself.
Syracuse -26
(763) GEORGIA ST vs. (764) WASHINGTON
Lean: GEORGIA ST against the spread.
Backing non-conference road underdogs (Georgia State) that are coming of a season with a losing record, but return two or more starters than their opponent (Washington) when the oddsmakers open the pointspread with the visiting dog getting 10 to 19.5 points, has been a 70 percent proposition over the last 15 college campaigns. The trend is 59-23 over that span and the bias is already 1-0 this season. The first half play in this situation is a solid 30-9 over the same 15 campaigns, a 77% proposition. The average oddsmaker opening pointspread in this situation has the home team favored by nearly 15 points and the average final score finds the visitor losing by an average of 8 points. In somewhat of an oddity, comparing the peripherals, nearly 50 percent of these situations have the road team covering by 6 points or more.
Georgia State + 17
